Both sides began their journey in Champions League qualifying but dropped out and now fight for a place in the Europa League group stage. The hosts will rely on home support and a strong performance in Tetovo, while the Bulgarian champions travel with the aim of establishing a cushion ahead of the return leg in Razgrad.
Shkëndija saw off Welsh club New Saints (2:1 on aggregate) and Romania’s FCSB (3:1) before stumbling against Qarabağ, suffering two defeats (0:1 and 1:5). Interestingly, all their setbacks have come against the Azeris — in other ties they looked steady. At home, the Macedonians tend to perform slightly better than away, usually finding the net, though their defence often cracks under the pressure of quick attacks. For the club, reaching the Europa League group stage would be historic, and the opening leg could be the key to their chances.
Ludogorets Razgrad remain the dominant force in Bulgaria, starting the new league season with four wins and a draw to top the table. Their only defeat came away to Ferencváros (0:3) in Champions League qualifying. In Europe, they have consistently reached the final stages of continental competitions, whether in the Champions League or the Europa League. Their experience and cohesion provide a clear advantage. Importantly, Ludogorets have shown time and again that they know how to handle second legs with composure, which is why even a draw in Skopje would be considered a valuable result.
Shkëndija will likely play boldly at home and try to push forward, but the quality gap is evident. Ludogorets Razgrad boast more talent, greater European pedigree and a more balanced squad. Given that the Bulgarians usually approach the first leg with pragmatism, betting on a cautious display from the visitors looks the more reasonable option.